123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960616263646566676869707172737475767778798081828384858687888990919293949596979899100101102103104105106107108109110111112113114115116 |
- July 2010What hard liquor, cigarettes, heroin, and crack have in common is
- that they're all more concentrated forms of less addictive predecessors.
- Most if not all the things we describe as addictive are. And the
- scary thing is, the process that created them is accelerating.We wouldn't want to stop it. It's the same process that cures
- diseases: technological progress. Technological progress means
- making things do more of what we want. When the thing we want is
- something we want to want, we consider technological progress good.
- If some new technique makes solar cells x% more efficient, that
- seems strictly better. When progress concentrates something we
- don't want to want—when it transforms opium into heroin—it seems
- bad. But it's the same process at work.
- [1]No one doubts this process is accelerating, which means increasing
- numbers of things we like will be transformed into things we like
- too much.
- [2]As far as I know there's no word for something we like too much.
- The closest is the colloquial sense of "addictive." That usage has
- become increasingly common during my lifetime. And it's clear why:
- there are an increasing number of things we need it for. At the
- extreme end of the spectrum are crack and meth. Food has been
- transformed by a combination of factory farming and innovations in
- food processing into something with way more immediate bang for the
- buck, and you can see the results in any town in America. Checkers
- and solitaire have been replaced by World of Warcraft and FarmVille.
- TV has become much more engaging, and even so it can't compete with Facebook.The world is more addictive than it was 40 years ago. And unless
- the forms of technological progress that produced these things are
- subject to different laws than technological progress in general,
- the world will get more addictive in the next 40 years than it did
- in the last 40.The next 40 years will bring us some wonderful things. I don't
- mean to imply they're all to be avoided. Alcohol is a dangerous
- drug, but I'd rather live in a world with wine than one without.
- Most people can coexist with alcohol; but you have to be careful.
- More things we like will mean more things we have to be careful
- about.Most people won't, unfortunately. Which means that as the world
- becomes more addictive, the two senses in which one can live a
- normal life will be driven ever further apart. One sense of "normal"
- is statistically normal: what everyone else does. The other is the
- sense we mean when we talk about the normal operating range of a
- piece of machinery: what works best.These two senses are already quite far apart. Already someone
- trying to live well would seem eccentrically abstemious in most of
- the US. That phenomenon is only going to become more pronounced.
- You can probably take it as a rule of thumb from now on that if
- people don't think you're weird, you're living badly.Societies eventually develop antibodies to addictive new things.
- I've seen that happen with cigarettes. When cigarettes first
- appeared, they spread the way an infectious disease spreads through
- a previously isolated population. Smoking rapidly became a
- (statistically) normal thing. There were ashtrays everywhere. We
- had ashtrays in our house when I was a kid, even though neither of
- my parents smoked. You had to for guests.As knowledge spread about the dangers of smoking, customs changed.
- In the last 20 years, smoking has been transformed from something
- that seemed totally normal into a rather seedy habit: from something
- movie stars did in publicity shots to something small huddles of
- addicts do outside the doors of office buildings. A lot of the
- change was due to legislation, of course, but the legislation
- couldn't have happened if customs hadn't already changed.It took a while though—on the order of 100 years. And unless the
- rate at which social antibodies evolve can increase to match the
- accelerating rate at which technological progress throws off new
- addictions, we'll be increasingly unable to rely on customs to
- protect us.
- [3]
- Unless we want to be canaries in the coal mine
- of each new addiction—the people whose sad example becomes a
- lesson to future generations—we'll have to figure out for ourselves
- what to avoid and how. It will actually become a reasonable strategy
- (or a more reasonable strategy) to suspect
- everything new.In fact, even that won't be enough. We'll have to worry not just
- about new things, but also about existing things becoming more
- addictive. That's what bit me. I've avoided most addictions, but
- the Internet got me because it became addictive while I was using
- it.
- [4]Most people I know have problems with Internet addiction. We're
- all trying to figure out our own customs for getting free of it.
- That's why I don't have an iPhone, for example; the last thing I
- want is for the Internet to follow me out into the world.
- [5]
- My latest trick is taking long hikes. I used to think running was a
- better form of exercise than hiking because it took less time. Now
- the slowness of hiking seems an advantage, because the longer I
- spend on the trail, the longer I have to think without interruption.Sounds pretty eccentric, doesn't it? It always will when you're
- trying to solve problems where there are no customs yet to guide
- you. Maybe I can't plead Occam's razor; maybe I'm simply eccentric.
- But if I'm right about the acceleration of addictiveness, then this
- kind of lonely squirming to avoid it will increasingly be the fate
- of anyone who wants to get things done. We'll increasingly be
- defined by what we say no to.
- Notes[1]
- Could you restrict technological progress to areas where you
- wanted it? Only in a limited way, without becoming a police state.
- And even then your restrictions would have undesirable side effects.
- "Good" and "bad" technological progress aren't sharply differentiated,
- so you'd find you couldn't slow the latter without also slowing the
- former. And in any case, as Prohibition and the "war on drugs"
- show, bans often do more harm than good.[2]
- Technology has always been accelerating. By Paleolithic
- standards, technology evolved at a blistering pace in the Neolithic
- period.[3]
- Unless we mass produce social customs. I suspect the recent
- resurgence of evangelical Christianity in the US is partly a reaction
- to drugs. In desperation people reach for the sledgehammer; if
- their kids won't listen to them, maybe they'll listen to God. But
- that solution has broader consequences than just getting kids to
- say no to drugs. You end up saying no to
- science as well.
- I worry we may be heading for a future in which only a few people
- plot their own itinerary through no-land, while everyone else books
- a package tour. Or worse still, has one booked for them by the
- government.[4]
- People commonly use the word "procrastination" to describe
- what they do on the Internet. It seems to me too mild to describe
- what's happening as merely not-doing-work. We don't call it
- procrastination when someone gets drunk instead of working.[5]
- Several people have told me they like the iPad because it
- lets them bring the Internet into situations where a laptop would
- be too conspicuous. In other words, it's a hip flask. (This is
- true of the iPhone too, of course, but this advantage isn't as
- obvious because it reads as a phone, and everyone's used to those.)Thanks to Sam Altman, Patrick Collison, Jessica Livingston, and
- Robert Morris for reading drafts of this.
|